Week 4 picks
DIdn't have a bad week last week, but stupid loyality mistakes knocked me out of my losers league and knocked my record down here. Anyway, I'll try not to make these mistakes again. Again, lines are provisded by the Stardust in Vegas, where this type of thing is legal (Home Team in CAPS):
Giants +7 over GREEN BAY
I hate giving the Giants the benefit of the doubt, but the G-Men have been playing well as of late and the Pack haven't done anything to earn a seven point spread over a team that's won two straight under a new coach and new quarterback. Lambeau would mean more if it were December.
Philadelphia -9.5 over CHICAGO
Chicago's got nothing going for them. No quarterback, injuries cropping up everywhere, and the best team in football coming in. I think Chicago's a better team than people are giving them credit for, but not today.
Washington -3 over CLEVELAND
Again, taking a road favorite. Last time I went with Washington, it was a loyality pick. This time, it's just that Cleveland is horrible.
New England -6 over BUFFALO
Man, I'm noticing a trend. But this is pretty much the Philadelphia rule. Best team in the league gets picked until they prove otherwise. Buffalo's one of those teams that could pull it off, but I'm not crazy about Buffalo and their 250 questions in their offense.
Oakland -2.5 over HOUSTON
Geez. I'm going to get screwed on a few of these games. Oakland loses their quarterback, but don't have much of a dropoff with their backup. Collins probably could have won the job outright during preseason, but the loyalty was there, and that's not a bad thing. Norv Turner's running an offense that's putting points on the board, further proving that the problem in Miami lies in that ugly mustache with a headset wrapped around it.
Indianapolis -4 over JACKSONVILLE
This will officially be the make or break for me picking Jacksonville in the future. Tennessee had an excuse. The Colts don't. If they can hold this offense under 10 points, they're my Super Bowl pick this season. For side action, take the under (43), just in case.
PITTSBURGH -4.5 over Cincinnati
I like the new kid in Pittsburgh. Plus, Cincinnati's not really impressing me much. I understand moving to Palmer was necessary for several reasons, but you have to wonder about winning now instead of earning your money.
Atlanta +3.5 over CAROLINA
No, Carolina's not doing much for me this year. I don't think they miss Stephen Davis, but I think they miss Steve Smith a great deal. With a team that has few offensive threats, you can't afford to lose many. Plus, Atlanta's defense is actually playing well.
New Orleans -3.5 over ARIZONA
Hi. Arizona sucks.
Jets -6.5 over MIAMI
Nothing to see here. Move on.
TAMPA BAY +3 over Denver
From a fantasy football standpoint, I'm hoping this is the week that Denver finally realizes that not ANY running back can be their starter, and they go with Tatum Bell. Until then, I think that Tampa might pull this one out, especially at home against a team that isn't scaring anyone.
SAN DIEGO +3 over Tennessee
I don't know if McNair is playing. I don't really care. Team without quarterback and good running back vs. team without quarterback and great running back. I'll take great over good any day.
St. Louis -3.5 over SAN FRANCISCO
Some people are calling this an upset special. As little faith as I have in the Rams, the 49ers just aren't good. They're better than Arizona, but that's not saying much.
Kansas City +5.5 over BALTIMORE
Call me crazy (and you will) but KC's got to snap out of it some time. They're not a 0-16 team. They might not be a 13-3 team again, but they have to snap out of it eventually. Why not on Monday night?