Category Archives: Baseball

The birth of a new blog

And while I’m still putting off redoing the site (mainly because I don’t redo the site, Tara does, and she’s uber busy), I’m managing to launch ANOTHER blog. This one is a baseball related one, and I’m going to try to update that one every day during the baseball season – at least during weekdays.

The link to it is baseball.buhner.com

This is a pathetic attempt to keep writing something every day. I seriously need to get into the habit of writing. And, the belief is that if I manage to write in the baseball blog every day, I’ll write here every day.

And maybe, just maybe, I’ll have something worthwile to say.

Danny Bautista… Danny Bautista?

Let’s start this off with a very telling quote:

“Everyone’s kind of dumbfounded today. We just lost our cleanup hitter and we don’t know what happened. It’s kind of a weird situation. It’s a zoo around here today.”
–Devil Rays DH Aubrey Huff, on right fielder and cleanup hitter Danny Bautista announcing his retirement just a day after Roberto Alomar did (St. Petersburg Times)

Now, seeing this quote brings up two immedate questions. First, what’s wrong with Danny Bautista? Bautista had just come off a season where he started 137 games, the most in his career. He was 32 years old at the time of his announcement, not necessarily the time that a player steps down in his career, especially coming off his first full season as a starter and signing a free agent contract to be the starting right fielder in Tampa. Bautista suffered a serious shoulder injury in 2002, but outside of that, had no real history of injuries breaking down his body any quicker than normal.

Bautista didn’t give any reasoning as to why he was retiring, and he shouldn’t necessarily have to. When you make a decision to leave your job (and this might sound hypocritical for how I’ve lashed out at Ricky Williams and his retirement) you shouldn’t have to explain yourself if you don’t want to. Bautista has made a few dollars over his career – enough that he should be able to live the rest of his career without having to work again. If that’s how he feels, so be it.

The more alarming thing (and the thing I wanted to get to) was the fact that Tampa was seriously considering (at least in Aubrey Huff’s eyes) Bautista as their cleanup hitter. While Bautista wasn’t necessarily a bad player (a decent defensive outfielder, VORP of 14.4 last season with Arizona), he’s more of an ideal 6-8 spot batter on regular teams. While he hits for a decent average (a batting average no lower than .275 over the last few seasons), he’s not a player who takes a lot of walks, and is better suited near the lower part of the order.

So was Huff confused, or was the concern legitimate? Let’s look at the projected starters for the 2005 Tampa Bay Devil Rays (with Bautista in the mix)

C Toby Hall (.255/.300/.666)
1B Travis Lee (.275/.348/.807)*
2B Jorge Cantu (.301/.341/.803)**
3B Alex Gonzalez (.225/.263/.632)
SS Julio Lugo (.275/.338/.734)
LF Aubrey Huff (.297/.360/.853)
CF Carl Crawford (.296/.331/.781)
RF Danny Bautista (.286/.332/.733)
DH Josh Phelps (.251/.304/.754)
* 2003 season
** over 50 games

Two things that jump out at you looking at this lineup. The first is that Alex Gonzalez as a starting third base option should never ever be considered, and the other is that Danny Bautista isn’t the best hitter in this lineup, justifying a #3 or #4 spot in the order. Hell, he’d have a tough argument for 5th best.

While Cantu is untested over a full season and Lee is coming off an injury that robbed him of most of his 2004 season, Bautista never showed much to justify him being a go-to bat. While Gonzalez’s inability to hit and Toby Hall struggling to live up to his supposed potential anchoring them to the bottom of the order, a more reasonable order might look like this:

SS Julio Lugo
CF Carl Crawford
1B Travis Lee
LF Aubrey Huff
DH Josh Phelps
RF Danny Bautista
2B Jorge Cantu
C Toby Hall
3B Alex Gonzalez

There’s several areas of flexability here – Lee seems more of a fit in the #2 slot, but I put Crawford in the #2 due to his speed – he’s far from a leadoff guy, though. If Phelps turns the corner and learns to hit righthanded pitchers as well as he hits lefties, he could push Huff into the 3 and settle into the 4, pushing Lee to the #5.

However, looking at this, one can actually see where a Lou Pinella would be batting Bautista in the #4 slot. Keeping with the Lugo-Crawford top of the order, if one decides to take their best hitter and put him in the #3 spot (which many managers employ), that leaves three options for the cleanup spot – Lee, Phelps, and Bautista. Against righthanded pitching, Phelps has batted horrible, so it comes down to Lee and Bautista, and both are reasonably even options.

But how did Tampa get here? Granted, an injury to Rocco Baldelli put a major wrench into the works, but it’s not like Baldelli was a cleanup hitter, or even a player that would put Bautista out of the lineup – when Baldelli returned, Huff would switch from left to third base and get Alex Gonzalez’s horrid bat out of the lineup.

The Devil Rays used four players for the majority of the season in the cleanup position in 2004 – Huff, Baldelli, Tino Martinez, and Jose Cruz Jr. Martinez and Cruz have since departed – Martinez because he was too expensive (he had an $8 million option for 2005 that was bought out for $1 million) and Cruz was traded – also possibly because he was too expensive. Cruz signed a two year deal with Tampa in 2004 that was scheduled to pay him $2.5 million in 2004 and $3.5 million in 2005, both years getting a 500k bonus if Cruz reached 600 plate appearences in 2004 (which he did). With Cruz’s numbers steadily declining (and his defense apparently eroding – the former gold glover made 10 errors in Tampa last season), the Rays dumped his salary off to Arizona.

Would the Rays have dumped off Cruz had they known Bautista would be gone? Perhaps. But as it stands right now, the Devil Rays have two healthy outfielders on their 25 man roster – Crawford and Huff. If the Devil Rays don’t turn face and reconsider Jonny Gomes and Joey Gathright (both of whom were recently reassigned to their minor league clubs, the Rays have to pick two, possibly three outfield options out of Dee Brown, Tom Goodwin, and Chris Singleton. Goodwin lost most of his value many years ago – outside of a “veteran influence”, he brings minimum value as a hitter, and doesn’t have the range he once had as an outfielder. Singleton plays a decent center field, but didn’t play in the majors in 2004, and has a career OBP of .311. Brown, a Royals prospect who never panned out, has value as a backup outfielder – in fact, he’s the ideal player to invite to camp and carry on the roster – very liitle risk involved. But is he an every day starter? Not likely.

Enter Alex Sanchez. Cut loose by Detroit, Sanchez walks into an ideal situation in Tampa. A career .292 hitter, Sanchez immedately becomes the best option the Rays have in camp. Sanchez can play center field, putting Huff in right and Crawford in left until Baldelli returns. But a closer look at Sanchez shows an undiciplined hitter (Sanchez walked SEVEN times last year) and a mediocre runner who uses pure speed instead of instinct (a career 68% basestealer) and has difficulty fielding his position (a career fielding percentage of .975, including 9 errors in 78 games last season).

Is Sanchez really that much of a better option than Joey Gathright? Gathright had a cup of coffee with the Rays last season and looked overmatched at times, but so does Sanchez. Both seem to be similar hitters, with Gathright having more upside.

Or perhaps Jonny Gomes? Gomes needs perhaps another year of seasoning in AAA and would have to play left, pushing Crawford over to center, but Gomes has the power bat that Tampa seems to need. If Gomes could be counted on for 20 home runs and a .240 batting average, it wouldn’t be a horrible situation – it’d replicate the numbers that Jose Cruz put up last season.

An even better idea? Matt Diaz. Diaz, who turned 27 two weeks ago, batted .332 for Durham (AAA) last year, hitting 21 home runs and playing a good right field. Diaz also has good speed, stealing 15 bases in 19 attempts last season. For a little more than league minimum, Diaz can get a shot at a starting position and see if he can take his game to the next level while allowing Gathright and Gomes a full year at AAA.

Oh, wait. Diaz was designated for assignment in the beginning of February when the Rays signed Travis Lee and needed a 40 man roster spot – the same day they traded Cruz away.

As easy as it might be to blame the failures of a franchise on their lack of money and “inability to compete”, shortsightedness and poor roster management will make sure that the Devil Rays aren’t competitive with teams even within their same financial situation.

Anna Benson

The whole Anna Benson thing annoys me.

Anna Benson’s a chick who’s married to a current New York Met. The New York media ate her up because she’s outgoing, camera-friendly, and for lack of better terms, a media whore.

She also apparently likes sex. The quote that the papers loved to run stated that if Anna were to catch her husband having an affair, she would take her revenge by sleeping with the rest of his team.

Hyperbole can be fun. Anna Benson doesn’t want to set up “Mets Gangbang 10” – she wants to make a point, that if my husband were to betray our trust, I’d make it come back to haunt him tenfold (or twenty-fourfold, depending on how you look at it).

Yet Benson, who also likes to show off her body (annabenson.net for modeling/swimsuit-type pics) and talk about how and where her and her husband have sex, gets called a “slut” and a “whore”. Even on message boards I hold in pretty high regard, she’s trashed because, I guess, because of the comments she made and her openness about her sexuality.

Mind you, there’s nothing that implies that she sleeps around – in fact, she seems to talk about her marriage more than anything. But in society, a woman who talks about sex, and especially one who implies that she might like sex is obviously a whore who has had hundreds of partners.

Society’s funny. Back in the 50’s, no one could admit that they liked sex. Religion did a pretty good job of controlling that. Then came Playboy. Suddenly, men realized that they could admit that girls are pretty, and that they wanted to see them naked. They could talk about their fantasies with these women who they would meet and have their way with.

Who these women were, we’re not sure. Women, unlike men, couldn’t like sex. There was no Playboy for women. A woman in the 50s and early 60s who talked about how attractive a man was in a sexual tone was cause for concern or shock. Women just didn’t do such things – it wasn’t proper.

Why is that? Men fell in love with a “virgin” quality to the female form. They wanted “fresh” women, whom they could be the first sexual partner and be the only man in their life. Women ould have nothing to compare their only sexual partner with – this must be as good as it gets.

The late 60s began to change this view, at least from the female perspective. Women didn’t always buy into the whole “I should be virginal because my future husband would want me to be” act – at least some didn’t. Others did.

I’ve got no issues with women (or men, for that matter) who want to remain virgins, but to do it for the reason that they feel that’s want their future husband might want is a little silly. I would think that there’s more stress on a relationship where one or both members haven’t had any sexual experience outside of their current partner – the temptation would always be there.

Anna Benson speaks her mind, and suddenly she’s a whore. Very nice. Gotta love society.

Gutshot

Yeah. I know. I know I know I know.

I’ve heard people compare it to the Lakers. This wasn’t the Lakers. The Lakers weren’t up 3-0 and lost the series. This isn’t a team that was supposed to be great who just lost in the playoffs.

This was a team that three outs away from a four game sweep, but instead lost four straight games. It is, very possibly, the biggest choke in the history of sports.

The only thing I can think of off the top of my head is the Buffalo comeback against Houston where they came back from like 31 points down in the playoffs.

I’ve got an article ready for this, looking back at what Buhner.com told the Yankees to do, what they actually did, and why it did (or didn’t) work. Then, we’ll look at what needs to be done for next year.

Assuming there’s anyone left come next year.

Panic? Nah, the Yanks never do that.

Sure, it’s easy to look at the Yankees right now and assume that they’re in full panic mode. It’s fun to think that George Steinbrenner is yelling at everyone in his employ right now because he didn’t get his way.

But let’s not get carried away.

Andy Pettitte is a good left-handed pitcher, but he isn’t exactly Whitey Ford. As I said in my blueprint for the Yankees offseason, it would be good for Andy Pettitte to remain a Yankee, but the team had to be careful not to overspend for him. The team almost did overspend for him, reportedly offering him something in the range of $13 million a year to stay in the Bronx.

While Pettitte didn’t take the bait (and I really didn’t think he ever intended on re-signing with New York, and I think, deep down inside, the Yankees believed that too), the Yankees then went ahead and agreed to a trade that would bring Kevin Brown over to New York for Jeff Weaver, two unnamed minor league players, and $3 million.

Despite what Andy Pettitte or the Houston Astros would like you to believe, Pettitte isn’t worth $13 million a year, or even $10 million a year. He’s got a career ERA around 4, has only led the AL in a statistical catagory twice (wins in 1996 and games started in 1997), and only came close to winning the Cy Young Award once in his career, eight years ago (losing to Pat Hentgen and finishing above middle reliever Mariano Rivera, who came in third).

When Pettitte is discussed by those supporting him, two things are brought up; the fact that he wins games, and that he’s a machine in the postseason. Winning games is reliant directly on the team that surrounds him. Chris George of the the Royals managed to win nine games in 18 starts despite having a 7.11 ERA. Would he be classified as a winner? Can Chris George walk into an arbitration hearing and explain to the judge that it was purely his ability that allowed the Royals to win games by scoring massive amounts of runs during games that he pitched, despite the fact that George, as an American League pitcher, doesn’t get to bat (and therefore contribute to the offensive outburst) and when he is on the field, allow a run for every four outs the opposing team makes?

This isn’t to say that Pettitte was as bad as Chris George was last year, not by a longshot. But no one was talking about offering George $13 million a year, either. While Pettitte’s 21 wins led the Yankees last season, one could easily argue that he wasn’t the #1 starter in the Yankees rotation last year. In fact, one could argue that Pettitte was the Yankees _fourth_ starter last season, behind Mike Mussina, Roger Clemens, and Jose Contreras, all of whom had better ERAs than Pettitte. With Mussina and Contreras returning and the retiring Clemens’ spot replaced by Javier Vazquez (who by far was a better and more dominating pitcher than Pettitte last season), the Yankees were left with the possibility of giving $13 million dollars to a 4th starter.

The Yankees are, however, giving $15 million to a 4th starter, it would seem, by aquiring Kevin Brown from Los Angeles. While Brown is going to be 39 years old during the 2004 season, he’s had an ERA over 3 once in the last eight seasons; in 2002, where he struggled with an injury.

Brown’s contract may be cumbersome and a relic of the free-spending past, one forgets a key part of this deal: Jeff Weaver.

While I’ve been a supporter of Weaver (and felt that he’s a much better pitcher than he showed last year), getting rid of Weaver (and his contract) can be looked as nothing more than a positive. While getting out of New York and into the pitchers paradise that is Chavez Ravine expects to do wonders for Weaver, trading him for a bowl of soup would heva been in the Yankees best interest. Getting a All-Star caliber pitcher out of the deal is only a bonus. Factoring in Weaver’s contract (which also lasts for two more years) and the money New York is sending to LA to complete the deal, Brown will cost the Yankees $11.75 million in 2004 and $5.75 million in 2005.

A little less shocking now, isn’t it?

The loss off Pettitte, understandibly, was a shock to Yankee fans. This wasn’t one of the playes that the Yankees picked up in a trade or free agency that decided to leave. Pettitte has only played in the Yankees system his entire career, and has pitched for the Yanks since 1995, having come up as a 23 year old and establishing himself in the Yankees rotation that season, just in time for the Yankees rise to dynasty-level. Pettitte, just like Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera, and to a lesser extent Jorge Posada and Bernie Williams, are the Yankees that were developed in the Yankee system which brought the team to the level where it could pull itself out of the quagmire that was the late 80s-early 90s and regain the Yankee legacy.

But emotional ties have to be cut eventually, and reality has to set in. Who you like and who makes your team better can be two different things, and in these moves, the Yankees are coming off a lot smarter than everyone wants to think they are.

Tragedy in Winter Haven – 10 Years Later

    I honestly can’t believe it’s been 10 years already. Ten years ago today, Cleveland Indians pitchers Steve Olin and Tim Crews were killed in a boating accident in Winter Haven, Florida, on an off day for the players at Spring Training. Olin was a 27 year old submarine-style closer for the Indians, who was coming off a very good season for them. Crews had come over from the Los Angeles Dodgers as a free agent who was invited to camp. The two of them, along with Bobby Ojeda, were in a boat that slammed into an unlit dock, killing Olin and Crews, and nearly killing Ojeda.

    It was near the end of my freshman year at Hofstra, and I was writing for the Hofstra Chronicle then. I was covering men’s lacrosse, but we had these “Viewpoint” things; little editorials that the sports department members could write about whatever they had a strong feeling about. The Indians/Winter Haven incident was one of two I did that year, and probably the one I was most passionate about. It’s probably crap (I’ll have to search around to see if I can find the article around my mom’s house), but if I can find it, I’ll post it on here. For now, check out Jayson Stark’s reflection at ESPN.com.